German import price inflation higher than expected


EURUSD, 240 min

German March import price inflation higher than expected, with the annual rate falling to -5.9% from -5.7% y/y in February, against a Bloomberg median of -6.2% y/y. Excluding energy prices, however, the picture is somewhat different, as the annual rate dropped sharply to -3.6% y/y from -2.8% y/y in February and compared to 2.2% y/y in July last year. The data show ongoing dis-inflation pressures from import prices, stemming not only from oil prices and subsequently strengthen Draghi’s push for additional easing last month.

There was no notable market reaction in EURUSD to the release. The pair is ranging between 0.38 and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement levels after yesterday’s move to 1.1278 was rejected and price bounced higher from 30 period MA. Nearest significant support and resistance levels are at 1.1253 and 1.1340. Markets are likely to be in a wait and see mode until the FOMC rate decision. No change is expected and as there is no press conference the actual words in the Monetary Policy Statement released at 18:30 GMT will be scrutinized very closely.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

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