EURCAD, Daily               

Data out of the Eurozone this week has so far have been net encouraging, even though the earlier release of German consumer confidence survey missed expectations. The German October Ifo business sentiment survey came in yesterday at 100.5, up from 109.5 in the previous month, tallying with strong PMI readings for Germany on Monday. French national business confidence numbers were weaker than hoped, but the readings at company level were better. This combined with USOil breaking the psychological USD 50.00 level, lead me to the EURCAD pair.

Yesterday’s breach and break of the 38.2 Fibonacci level, following rejection on Friday and Monday, suggested further strength into the 50.0 Fibonacci level and the 1.4600 level. Entry was today at 1.4550 with Target 1 1.4620 where the 20, 50 DMA are found.  Target 2  is at the next psychological level and a little over the 14 DATR at 1.4700.  The RSI remains over 50 and positive and also the Parabolic SAR reversed today too. However, the short term Stochastics are suggesting the current up move may be overbought.

The volatility in the sterling yesterday, closed my, against the trend LONG trade in GBPAUD for a net loss of 120 pips, the GBPCHF position remains open.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

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Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

EURCAD, 240 min

Draghi’s speech is scheduled for today and starts at 10 am GMT while the ECB interest rate decision is due tomorrow. Draghi is widely expected to keep monetary policy unchanged at tomorrow’s council meeting. Indeed, with officials stressing that helicopter money may be an interesting academic idea but is not under serious consideration and the ECB focused on implementing the measures already announced the central bank is seen on hold for an extended period. With growth slowing down in core countries and the Brexit referendum adding to uncertainties, hopes of further action down the line remain, even if helicopter money may be too much of a leap. For now though the ECB remains on hold and at the moment September seems the earliest for a serious policy review.

Event’s such as speeches from central bankers have a potential to move the currency markets as much as the discussions between heads of oil producing states can move the crude oil and related currencies. With Draghi’s speech coming up and oil being volatile I am focusing on EURCAD, an FX pair that could be impacted by both. The pair is trading at the lower Bollinger Bands in weekly, daily and 4h charts has driven Stochastics to the oversold territory in Weekly and 4h timeframes. This together with Draghi’s speech coming up later on today creates a chance for this market to rally higher. The nearest 4h resistance level at 1.4482 coincides with 23.6% Fib-level and EURCAD breaks above it could rally up to my sell area at 1.4609 – 1.4680, an area that coincides with the 4h Bollinger bands and the area between 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci levels.

I’m looking for sell signals in EURCAD inside my sell area between 1.4623 – 1.4680 with Target 1 at 1.4350 – 1.4400 and Target 2 at 1.4200 – 1.4242. Please remember to manage your risks and only trade these trade ideas if your analysis agrees with them. If you don’t know how to manage your trading risks professionally you are welcome join to my free webinars to learn more.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.