EURJPY Hits Target 1- EURUSD Hits Targets 1&2

2016-10-21_14-10-11

EURJPY, Daily               

On Monday (October 17) I wrote “A number of the EUR pairs look like they may be rolling over, one with the most potential could be the EURJPY. The pair had a good run up from the September low around 112.00 to a recent high at 116.30.  The pair retraced to the 23.6 and 38.2 Fibonacci levels last week as the 20 & 50 DMA and the 50.0 Fibonacci levels provide support around 114.00-114.12.  A breach and break of this level will could see a fall to Target 1 at 113.00 and Target 2 at 112.00, both psychological round numbers and multiples of the 14 day ATR which is currently 107. This move would be in line with the longer term Weekly and Monthly time frames”

The trade was triggered on Tuesday (October 18) and following the ECB rate announcement and press conference yesterday, Target 1 (113.00) was reached earlier today for a net gain of 112 pips.

2016-10-21_14-34-01

The EURUSD SHORT position had been open from last week (October 12) when I wrote “EURUSD’s technical picture remains one of bearish momentum. The pair has broken back below, and posted two daily closes below, the 200-day moving average, which is presently sitting at 1.1172. The clear break of the 200 DMA, which was confirmed yesterday, generated a SHORT position this morning at 1.1035. The next downside targets are Target 1 1.0950, the recent July Low and Target 2 1.0917 the June low.”  Both Target 1 and Target 2 have been achieved in the last 24 hours as the pair broke the key 1.09500 level for a net gain of 118 pips. The next support area is the March low at 1.0824.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

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About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

EURJPY bouncing from weekly lows

Chart_16-04-22_11-39-33

EURJPY, 240 min

The yen has weakened on a report that the BoJ is considering making a bigger commitment to NIRP, which may be a cut in the -0.1% rate on selected excess bank reserves and the introduction of negative-rate loans, according to Bloomberg sources. Japan’s Markit manufacturing PMI survey for April underscored the plight of Japanese policymakers. The headline dove to 48.0 from 49.1 in the previous month and is the lowest since January 2013. The sector has been blighted by a double whammy of yen gains during the early part of April, which sent the currency to 18-month highs versus the dollar and three-year highs against the euro, and the activity-disrupting earthquakes that struck the island of Kyushu.

EURJPY is at the time of writing trading near a resistance at 124.87. This resistance level is outside the upper Bollinger bands in the 4h chart and lower time frame charts suggest loss of upside momentum near the level. I’m not as a rule a buyer near resistances but rather wait for pullbacks to my buy areas before risking money. This means that sometimes I prepare to take a trade at certain levels but the market doesn’t move to those levels. That however, is fine. In the long run it is better to be selective with risk taking than overtrade when we don’t have an edge. In the bigger picture EURJPY is trading near weekly lows and I’m therefore interested in long trades but only after significant pullbacks. Due to recent volatility in EUR I’d rather be careful with my entries and therefore seek for buy signals between the 38.2 and 61.8% Fibonacci levels that coincide with the lower Bollinger bands and both 30 and 50 period moving averages.

I’m looking for buy signals in EURJPY at or inside my buy area between 122.95 and 123.70 with Target 1 at: 124.80 – 125.40 and Target 2 at: 126.75 – 127.35. Using strict risk management is recommendable as usual. If you don’t know how to manage your trading risks professionally you are welcome join to my free webinars to learn more.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Final Eurozone PMI – Below Expectations

Final Eurozone PMI – Below Expectations

 

EURJPY, 4 Hour,  

Eurozone final services PMI revised down to 53.1 from 54.0 reported initially and versus 53.3 in February. The composite was revised up to 53.1 from 53.0 reported initially on the back of the stronger manufacturing number, but this still leaves the index down from 53.7 in the previous month. So the improvement in confidence that the PMI suggested for the end of the first quarter looks shakier than thought and the country breakdown highlights that even the big four are drifting apart again, with the weakness mainly felt at the core. France in particular continues to underperform amid the lack of structural reforms.

EURJPY continued its decline from Fridays high to the psychological 125.50 level and the 4 Hour 200 Day MA. The JPY has been particularly strong over night as risk off takes hold. There was also a meeting convened between the BOJ, the Japanese finance ministry and the financial regulator, following the meeting Chief Cabinet Secretary Suga said FX levels were being watched with “a sense of urgency”.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

EURJPY hits targets both short and long side

 EURJPY hits targets both short and long side

EURJPY hits targets both short and long side

EURJPY, 240 min

March 14th I published an analysis on EURJPY suggesting that the pair would provide opportunities on both short and long sides. Price was about to roll over from the daily Bollinger bands and move to my buy area. As the pair was trading at 126.26 at the time of writing I suggested we could take a short between 126.50 and 126.80. Price rallied to 126.70 and faced heavy selling. This resulted in my 125.45 target being hit on March 15th. The long trade idea was to look for buy signals at or inside the area with Target 1 is at 126.60 – 127.60 and Target 2 at 128.00 – 128.60.

Now the long side target 1 has been hit also and EURJPY is attempting to crawl towards the target 2. The daily chart shows some loss of momentum at the upper daily Bollinger Bands and Stochastics possibly rolling over from the overbought zone. However, the weekly picture looks still promising which means that it could push higher after a pullback. The nearest important support level is at 126.60 a previous resistance that coincides with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

EURJPY Rolling over from daily Bollinger bands

EURJPY Rolling over from daily Bollinger bands

EURJPY, 240 min

Euro area January industrial production beat the estimates today with actual figure being 2.1% while the consensus expectation was 1.5% and December number negative at -1.0%. According to the Eurostat the increase is due to production of capital goods rising by 3.9%, energy and non-durable consumer goods both by 2.4%, durable consumer goods by 1.3% and intermediate goods by 0.9%.

Long trade idea: EURJPY has been trending lower since July last year and has now after overshooting the bearish daily channel shown signs of stabilization. After creating two weekly bullish pin bars the pair rallied higher towards 127.50 resistance where it hit both 30 and 50 day SMA and the upper Bollinger Bands (20). The pair has been overbought as per Stochastics (7, 3, 3) in 4h chart and is in the process of rolling over. I look for a move to my Buy Area at 124.60 – 125.00 which roughly coincides with the moving averages (30 and 50 periods) and the lower Bollinger Bands (1.5 sd, 20 periods). We look for buy signals at or inside the area with Target 1 is at 126.60 – 127.60 and Target 2 at 128.00 – 128.60.

Short trade idea: Those that have an interest to play the short side while waiting for the price to move to the Buy Area, might consider shorts with a target at 125.45 (dotted line). In this case we’d look for sell signals between 126.50 and 126.80.

Only trade these trade ideas if your own analysis agrees with them and you are confident that in your risk management.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

EURJPY Update, downside target 130.25

EURJPY Update, downside target 130.25

EURJPY, Daily

The short term technical view for the EURJPY supports short positions for a target near the 130.25 area. Stochastic analysis is bearish; price is trading below the downward sloping trend line, moving average analysis is bearish.

Dec 31 EURJPY SRL

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.