US Manufacturing output at six year low

2016-05-23_16-56-44

USDJPY,  H1     

U.S. Markit manufacturing PMI dipped to 50.5 in flash print for May, the lowest since September 2009. The index fell to 50.8 in April from 51.5 in March. It was 54.0 a year ago. The index hit a high of 57.9 in August 2014 and has generally been on a downward trajectory ever since. New orders declined versus April and are expanding at the slowest rate since December 2015, in large part thanks to weakness from foreign demand. But, input prices rose for a second straight month, though inflation remained moderate overall and was running at a slower overall pace than the series average. The squeeze on US manufacturing continues with a strengthening USD, insipid global demand and the FED looking to hike interest rates, it’s not getting any easier. USDJPY trading above day lows at 109.40 but off the 110 handle by some way today.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

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About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

US Retail Sales beats estimates, PPI inline

2016-05-13_16-02-43

USDJPY, H1   

US retail sales jumped 1.3% in April, and were up 0.8% excluding autos, much better than expected following a 0.3% headline decline in March, with the ex-auto component revised up to 0.4% from 0.2%. Excluding autos, gas, and building materials, sales climbed 0.8% versus a 0.1% gain previously (revised from flat). Auto sales bounced 3.2% to erase the 3.2% drop previously. Gasoline station sales increased 2.2% with back-to-back gains unwinding the 5.2% February decline. Non-store retailers increased 2.1%. Miscellaneous sales were up 1.5%. Clothing sales rebounded 1.0%. Health and personal care continued to post strong gains for a 3rd straight month, up 0.9% versus 1.3% previously.

 US April final demand PPI increased 0.2% with the core up 0.1%,  following March declines of 0.1% for both. On an annual basis, producer prices were flat (0.0%) versus -0.1% y/y previously, with the ex-food and energy component expanding 0.9% y/y after the 1.0% y/y gain in March. Inflation in the goods sector grew 0.2% in April after an identical 0.2% gain in March, with energy up 0.2% from 1.8% previously. Food prices fell -0.3% after the -0.9% decline in March. Inflation in the services sector rose 0.1% after an 0.2% decline.

Two good pieces of news for the US economy, (particularly the retail figure).  The USD and US stock market futures both up

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Looking to sell USDJPY if it rallies further

USDJPY

USDJPY, 240 min

Earlier today the yen eked out fresh lows against the dollar and euro, among other currencies, in what has been generally lacklustre trade in Asia. A solid set of Chinese data failed to lift spirits in most Asian stock markets, with investors in need of a breather after a week of strong rallies. A major earthquake was reported to have hit Japan’s Kyushu island. It caused damage and very unfortunately deaths but hasn’t caused a tsunami. This morning’s Japanese industrial production numbers for February came in at -5.2% while the previous number was -6.2%. There was no immediate reaction to the number even though the JPY strengthened a little bit later on.

USDJPY has rallied from Monday’s low of 107.63 until the pair corrected lower today. It is now trading relatively near the 109.10 support which coincides with 23.6% Fibonacci level. I’m interested in the levels near the 50% Fibonacci retracement (at 110.72) for short entries as it coincides with 110.65 level that used to be an important support for the pair. The 50% level adds to this levels significance.

Should the pair rally to my sell area between 110.25 and 111.00 I will be looking for sell signals inside the sell area. The target 1 (T1) area is between 109.08 and 109.75 while those looking for a longer term target might choose to exit at target 2 between 104.75 and 105.50. I recommend using strict risk management as per usual. If you don’t know how to manage your trading risks professionally you are welcome join to my free webinars to learn more about it.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

US Retail & PPI figures weaker than expected

US Retail & PPI figures weaker than expected

USDJPY, 60min   

US retail sales fell 0.3% in March with the ex-auto component up 0.2%. But the 0.1% dip in the February headline and ex-auto sales were each revised up to unchanged, which offsets some of the headline disappointment. Sales excluding autos, gas, and building materials was unchanged from a 0.4% gain previously (revised from 0.1%). Pacing the headline weakness was a 2.1% drop in car sales, with clothing off 0.9%, while eating and drinking establishments fell 0.8%. Building materials climbed 1.4%, with healthcare up 1.0%, along with a 0.9% rebound in gas station sales.

US March PPI dipped 0.1% with the core rate off 0.1% too, both underperforming expectations. There were no revisions to February with a 0.2% headline decline, and a flat core reading. On an annual basis, final demand PPI slowed to a -0.1% y/y clip versus unchanged previously, with the core rate dipping to 1.0% y/y from 1.2% y/y.

The USD fell broadly after the weaker than expected retail sales, and the cooler PPI outcomes. EURUSD rallied to 1.1325 from just above 1.1300 as USDJPY fell under 109.10 from near 109.35.  Next upward resistance on the 60 min chart is the 200 MA at 109.56, with support around 109.00 – 108.90.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

USDJPY Analysis for 01.15.2016

USDJPY, update

USDJPY, Daily

The JPY continues to strengthen on the back of lower commodities and outflows for China as the flight to safety trades remains open for the time being.

Since current USDJPY market price remains below the longer term (Monthly) chart trend-line, as well as negative MA analysis, along with the big picture macros, my conclusion is for further JPY strength.

This strength will lead the USDJPY pair lower over the medium term towards price targets 116.70 (Target 1), and 115.90 (Target 2).

Jan 15 USDJPY SRL

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

USDJPY Rattled by the macro data

USDJPY Rattled by the macro data

USDJPY, Weekly

USDJPY has dropped below the previous trading range and has since bounce higher from another range near 121.00. Japanese core machinery orders data yesterday showed a jump of 10.7% m/m in October. The market consensus had been for a 1.5% decline, and the data follows a 7.5% m/m gain in September. In y/y terms, orders are up 10.3%. The data are encouraging, and follows a big upward revision in Japan’s Q3 GDP this week, to +1.0% y/y from the -0.8% originally reported, which shows that the country didn’t fall into a technical recession after all. The data has softened the possibility for the BoJ expanding its QQE policy in January, which is the prevailing market expectation.

In the weekly picture USDJPY has broken below a rising trendline and since made a return move to it. Price failed to move above the trendline after which it corrected lower. This creates a third lower high in the weekly picture since June this year and signals that this market is getting bearish. The nearest weekly resistance level is at 122.25 while a weekly high from September at 121.24 acts as the nearest support.

Chart_15-12-10_12-19-19

USDJPY, 240 min

The bounce from the 121.24 support suggests that the price could rally to previous support area at 122.60 – 122.80. This area is likely to be a resistance now. This area coincides roughly with the 30 and 50 period moving averages. We will be looking for sell signals should the price rally to this area. My targets are 121.50 (T1) and 120.62 (T2).

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.