Macro Events & News for 09.21.2016

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FOREX News Today

The BoJ: Announced a policy framework overhaul, which it called “QQE with yield curve control.” It left the 0.1% negative rate charged on excess reserves unchanged, while detailing a reworked QQE program. The central bank abandoned its base money target and replaced it with “yield curve control,” whereby the BoJ will target 10-year JGB yields at current levels around 0%. The second part of the new policy framework is “inflation-overshooting commitment,” where the BoJ is committing to expanding the money base until CPI exceeds the y/y target of 2% and stays above target. The BoJ said the scale of the QQE program remained on hold, and that overall asset purchases would remain “more or less in line with the current pace,” although the maturity target has been abolished. The timeframe for achieving the 2% inflation target has been set, quite simply, as “the earliest possible time.” Aside from detailing the new framework, the BoJ also provided an assessment of the failure to have pushed CPI to 2%, blaming “exogenous factors,” including the fall in oil prices, sluggish global demand and financial market volatility. On the economy, the BoJ said recovery “is likely to remain slow.” The yen dove nearly 1% as markets digested the new framework see below.

FX Update: USDJPY is registering a near 1% gain as the London interbank take to their desks. After initially dipping as the BoJ refrain from extending its NIRP policy, the pair rallied as the yen fell across-the-board as markets digested an overhaul in the BoJ’s policy framework. It left the 0.1% negative rate charged on excess reserves unchanged, while detailing a reworked QQE program. The central bank abandoned its base money target and replaced it with “yield curve control,” whereby the BoJ will target 10-year JGB yields at current levels around 0%. The second part of the new policy framework is “inflation-overshooting commitment,” where the BoJ is committing to expanding the money base until CPI exceeds the y/y target of 2% and stays above target. USD-JPY clocked an eight-day high at 102.78. EUR-JPY and other yen crosses also vaulted higher. Whether the new framework will general sustained yen weakness remains to be seen. Spill over dollar strength following the BoJ’s announcement drove EUR-USD to a three-week low at 1.1123.

BoC’s Poloz said it is unclear if the bank will cut its forecast in October, responding to a question in his recently started Q&A with the press. He noted that the export gain in July provides some reassurance, but also said weakness in export data is unexplained. Keeping his constructive tone intact, he said he expects a large recovery in the level of non-commodity exports. As for the downward shift in inflation risks, he explained that the output gap and exports are behind the downward tilt. But the output gap is the biggest factor in lower inflation outlook he said. Responding to a question on housing, he said a slowdown in one housing market is rarely contagious. As for the renewal of the 2% inflation targeting mandate that is due in upcoming weeks, he said it is the Finance Department’s decision to make. It is a pretty high bar for changing the target, but it is not impossible, the Governor said. And repeating his previous view, he said the adjustment to the oil shock will take several years.

European Outlook: Japanese stocks jumped higher leading broad gains on other European markets after the Bank of Japan decided not to cut interest rates further. The reaction shows that markets and especially banks were weary of a further deepening of negative rates, which banks and insurers in particular are struggling to cope with. The Bank said it is shifting to a greater focus on the shape of the yield curve saying that it will increase bond purchases “more of less in line with the current pace” of 80 trillion yen per year. It also kept the door open to another rate cut. The Yen was under pressure after the decision, which underpinned the outperformance of Japanese stock markets. U.S. and U.K. futures are also higher ahead of the Fed decision, which is likely to see policy unchanged leaving the focus on the forward guidance. Oil prices are also higher, although the front end WTI future is down from earlier highs of over USD 45 per barrel at currently USD 44.89. European markets will look ahead to the Fed decision, but the local calendar also has U.K. public finance data. ECB’s Praet meanwhile stressed again this morning that the central bank will maintain a high degree of monetary accommodation.

Main Macro Events Today        

  • FOMC Outlook –  The two day FOMC meeting started yesterday with the announcement and press conference scheduled for 18:00 and 18:30 GMT respectively later today. There is little chance of a rate hike this week. The lack of any indication from the FOMC that another tightening is on the way is one of the main factors suggesting policy will be left on hold for now. Additionally, recent data reports haven’t gone the Fed’s way, with weakness in employment, retail sales, and manufacturing, along with still low/moderate inflation trends.
  •  RBNZ – Expectations are for no change in the base rate from its current 2.00% level, still by far the the highest in the G10 countries.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Macro Events & News for 09.20.2016

2016-09-20_09-01-33

FOREX News Today

European Outlook: Asian stock markets are narrowly mixed, with some bourses swinging between gains and losses, as traders hold back ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC and BoJ announcements. The Nikkei closed down -0.16%. The bullish sentiment on European stock markets yesterday that was underpinned by hopes that the BoJ could add some stimulus and a pick up in oil prices, already fizzled out in the later U.S. session as the oil prices dipped again and with the front end WTI futures falling further today and threatening to fall below USD 43 per barrel, risk appetite has faded. U.S. stock futures are posting slight gains, but the FTSE 100 is down, suggesting that European markets are poised for a correction in catch up trade. The European calendar is virtually empty.

RBA Minutes: “Rising AUD would complicate rebalancing of the economy”, following slow down on mining investment. The decline in the AUD since 2013 has “continued to support traded sector of economy”. Cost pressures and wage growth set to remain low and little change expected in unemployment in coming months.  “Economy growing in line with potential” and current stance on policy “consistent with growth and inflation targets”.  Looks like its neutral for  longer and same tone as other “data dependent” central banks. AUDUSD 0.7540 and capped by the 20 DMA.

German PPI: the German PPI for August missed expectations coming in at -0.1% (0.0% expected). Slightly softer than hoped and not good news for ECB. EURUSD remains in tight overnight range pivoting around 1.1170.

U.S. NAHB Homebuilder sentiment index jumped to 65 in September: This was up 6 points from 59 in August (revised down from 60 previously). It’s the highest since last October, which was also a 65 print, and was 61 a year ago. The 2016 range has been from 58 to 65, and over the past ten years has ranged from 65 to 34  over the past decade. The future sales index also rose to 71 from 66. The index of prospective buyer traffic improved to 48 from 44. All four regions posted gains, led by the West which soared to 82 from 68.

FX Update: All quiet on the forex front, with the main currency pairings having posted ultra narrow ranges as market participants remain on the sidelines ahead of tomorrow’s Fed and BoJ policy decisions. Consensus expectations are the Fed will refrain from easing,  while there are some expectations that the BoJ to trim its -0.1% reserve deposit rate further into negative territory while skewing QQE purchases toward the shorter and middle parts of the maturity spectrum to facilitate curve steepening, with the aim of mitigating the negative effects the program has had on financial intermediation. 60% of respondents to a Reuters expected the BoJ to move this week, though there was some discord among those anticipating action in the extent of what the central bank will do. With the costs and benefits of the three-year old QQE program fading, many expect a shift in policy focus to interest rates and NIRP. How markets react is a tough call, though we think the risks for USD-JPY are to the downside. Past BoJ easing measures in the Abenomics era have generally failed to weaken the yen, and the central bank would have to be aggressive if it wants a weaker currency.

Main Macro Events Today        

  • BOJ Outlook –  The two day meeting started earlier today and the announcement and press conference are scheduled for 03:00 GMT on Wednesday. There are expectations for a further cut in deposit rate and an expansion of the QE asset purchasing facility. However, in recent days there has also been market chatter that the BOJ may be concerned about the sustainability of its current stimulus programme.
  • FOMC Outlook – The two day FOMC meeting starts later with the announcement and press conference scheduled for 18:00 and 18:30 GMT respectively on Wednesday. There is little chance of a rate hike this week. The lack of any indication from the FOMC that another tightening is on the way is one of the main factors suggesting policy will be left on hold for now. Additionally, recent data reports haven’t gone the Fed’s way, with weakness in employment, retail sales, and manufacturing, along with still low/moderate inflation trends.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

The Economic Week Ahead for 09.19.2016

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Main Macro Events This Week

Central banks are in the spotlight this week, with the focus on the FOMC and BoJ. And the likely divergent policy outcomes will be key for market direction heading into Q4. With some policymakers starting to doubt the effectiveness of the low and negative rate structures, there’s increased uncertainty over just what will be announced, with the BoJ having perhaps the biggest opportunity to surprise with either its decisions on rates or QE purchases.

United States:  The FOMC meeting (Tuesday, Wednesday) dominates the landscape. It is highly unlikely the FOMC will resume its rate hike regime this week give the disappointing data on jobs, retail sales, and manufacturing, amid a still low inflation environment. Indeed, Fed funds futures are suggesting a very low probability of less than 15%. A light data calendar will play second fiddle to the Fed. Housing reports will dominate. The September NAHB homebuilder survey leads off (Monday) and is expected to hold steady at 60. August housing starts (Tuesday) are projected falling to a 1.193 mln pace, after two consecutive monthly gains. Existing home sales (Thursday) should bounce 1.7% to a 5.480 mln. Weekly jobless claims, the August leaders index, the July FHFA home price index, and the KC Fed manufacturing survey are also due Thursday, with the preliminary Markit PMI manufacturing report on Friday.

Fedspeak will remain in blackout mode until Friday when Harker, Mester, Lockhart and Kaplan all have speaking engagements, however,  it is unlikely anyone will break ranks and say much about policy the policy decision on Wednesday.

Canada: CPI and retails sales highlight the week’s slate of economic data, which also includes wholesale trade. Total CPI (Friday) is seen expanding at a 1.4% and The Bank of Canada’s core CPI measure is projected to moderate to 2.0%. Retail sales (Friday) are anticipated to rise 0.3% with the the ex-autos retail aggregate is expected to gain 0.6%. Wholesale shipments (Wednesday) are seen rising 0.2% in July. Bank of Canada governor Poloz speaks Tuesday in Quebec City, with a press conference to follow.

Europe: This week’s data calendar is the timely set of confidence indicators in the form of preliminary September PMI readings (Friday). Expectations are for a slight dip in the manufacturing PMI to 51.5 and an uptick in the services reading to 52.9, and thus leave the Composite PMI broadly stable at 52.8. Other data releases include Eurozone current account, as well as German producer price inflation, which is expected to continue to move up from lows, but to still remain firmly in negative territory.

UK: The calendar is pretty quiet this week, highlighted by the CBI industrial trends survey for September (Thursday), where the forecast is for an unchanged -5 reading in the headline total orders figure. Monthly government borrowing data is also up (Wednesday), as is the Rightmove house price index for September. Longer-term Brexit-related concerns have been sharpening over the last week, which culminated in sterling plunging on Friday. The pound finished the day with a 1.8% loss to the dollar and with an average decline of 1.4% against the G3 currencies.

China: There are no scheduled data releases from China this week.

Japan: is closed Monday for Respect-for-the Aged Day holiday, and again on Thursday for the Autumnal Equinox holiday, bookending the two-day BoJ meeting (Tuesday, Wednesday). The policy outcome is of considerable uncertainty and of much debate. Data will be of moderate consequence. The August trade report (Tuesday) should show a narrowing in the surplus to JPY 250.0 bln from the revised 513.6 bln in July. The July all-industry index (Friday) is expected to rise 0.3% m/m versus the June 1.0% increase.

Australia: Reserve Bank of Australia releases the minutes to the September meeting (Tuesday), when policymakers held rates steady at 1.50% and shifted to a more balanced policy bias (from a tilt toward further easing). There are no bank officials scheduled to speak this week. The data calendar is thin, with the just the Q2 house price index due (Tuesday).

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Macro Events & News for 09.16.2016

2016-09-16_08-43-27

FOREX News Today

European Outlook: Asian stock markets outside of mainland China moved higher following on from gains on Wall Street and in Europe yesterday. BoE and SNB may have left policy on hold yesterday, but at least the BoE kept the door open to another rate cut and the first rise on Japanese markets in 8 days will also have to do with position in Japan ahead of a long weekend and next week’s Fed and BoJ announcements. Japan is closed for a national holiday Monday and trading volumes were already lower than usual today. Indeed, U.K. and U.S. stock futures are in the red and already signal an end to yesterday’s move higher. Oil prices are also down on the day and the front end WTI future is trading at USD 43.55. Today’s European calendar is very quiet, with only French wages, Italian trade and Eurozone labour cost data.

FX Update: The dollar majors are near net unchanged after a quiet pre-Europe session in Asia. China, Honk Kong, South Korea, Taiwan and Malaysia have all been closed for public holidays today, while Japan will be off on Monday. The holidays and the proximity of next week’s Fed and BoJ policy decisions have been keeping participants on the sidelines. There was some movement, most notably USD-JPY, which logged a three-day low at 101.73 before recouping back above 102.00. The pair has been trading sensitively to relative expectations of Fed and BoJ policy into next week’s dual policy meetings of the two. A flood of weak data out of the U.S. yesterday, including sub-forecast readings in retail sales and industrial output, and flat PPI, saw prospects for a Fed rate hike next week whittle further (down to a 49.7% probability on Thursday, from 58.5% a week earlier, according to Bloomberg), which saw the 2-year T-note yield fall nearly 3 bp to 0.73%. Elsewhere, EUR-USD continued to ply a narrow range in the mid 1.12s. AUD-USD inched out a three-day high of 0.7527, reflecting both recent outperformance in the domestic stock market and rising yields.

US Data Deluge: Yesterday’s US reports proved disappointing overall, led by weak August retail sales figures after modest downward revisions that trimmed our Q3 GDP growth forecast to 2.3% from 2.5%, though we still assume is a Q2 growth boost to 1.5% from 1.1%. The July business inventory data were stronger than expected and initial claims remained tight in the Labor Day week at 260k, hence providing some good news on the day, and the mining data within the August industrial production report revealed a fourth consecutive monthly rise that suggests a bottom for that embattled sector, despite the 0.4% headline IP drop. Yet, the Empire State and Philly Fed reports were weaker than expected which suggests that the inventory headwind continues with gusto, and we saw weakness in the August PPI report. A narrowing in the Q2 current account defict rounded out a massive data-blast that largely negated any chance of a policy tightening at next week’s FOMC meeting.

BoE and SNB on Hold: BoE to Buy Overseas Corporate Bonds and no real surprises from BoE and SNB. Both central banks keeping policy on hold. Unlike Draghi, the BoE may have sounded somewhat less pessimistic about the U.K.’s growth outlook post Brexit, but it still left the door open to another rate cut, depending on data. At the same time, the new corporate bond purchase program has yet to start and this week’s publication on the list of eligible assets has caused some stir, as it also includes overseas companies as long as they make a “material contribution to the U.K. economy.”

Main Macro Events Today        

  • US CPI – August CPI is out today and expectations are to see a 0.1% (median 0.1%) headline increase with the core up 0.2% (median 0.2%). This follows July data which had the headline unchanged and the core up 0.1% on the month. The August PPI was released yesterday and featured a flat headline with a 0.1% core increase for the month.
  •  US Michigan Consumer Sentiment –  The first release on September Michigan Sentiment is out later and expectations are for the headline to climb to 90.5 (median 90.5) to cap the recent string of declines that had the headline falling to 89.8 in August from 90.0 in July and 93.5 in June. The already released IBD/TIPP Poll for the month fell to 46.7 from 48.4 in August and expectations are that the Consumer Confidence headline to fall to 98.0 from 101.1 in August.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Macro Events & News for 09.15.2016

2016-09-15_09-28-57

FOREX News Today

European Outlook: Asian stock markets are mostly down, with Japanese equities remaining under pressure amid a stronger Yen and concerns that a BoJ move further into negative territory would hit earnings. Uncertainty about the global interest rate outlook and volatility in energy prices continue to weigh on investor sentiment. Oil prices are off lows and up from yesterday but the front end Nymex future is still firmly below USD 44 per barrel. U.S. stock futures are moving higher, but U.K. futures are in the red ahead of today’s BoE meeting. The central bank is widely expected to keep policy on hold, but markets will be sensitive to any comments that could signal that the BoE is backing off from the prospect of yet another cut this year. The SNB is also seen on hold as the central bank continues to rely on forex intervention rather than further easing to keep the currency under control, while eying developments in the Eurozone carefully. The economic calendar has U.K. retail sales, as well as the final reading for Eurozone August HICP inflation and EMU trade data.

New Zealand & Australia mixed news: Australia’s August employment data unveiled a big miss to the downside with a fall of 3,900 jobs (seasonally adjusted) against expectations of a rise of 15,000.The breakup of the data was slightly more encouraging at the margins, with the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) saying that full-time jobs rose 11,500 while part-time jobs fell 15,400.Showing the difficulty in reading the data the unemployment rate dipped to 5.6% from 5.7% previously. That’s a result of the fall in participation rate, the number of people who say they are in the workforce, from 64.9% to 64.7%.  Meanwhile, New Zealand Q2 GDP rose 0.9% q/q and Q1 was revised up to 0.9% q/q from 0.7%. USDAUD remains well below 0.7500 at 0.7470 and USDNZD below 0.7300 at 0.7268.

A Global Advisor preview of the Fed and BoJ next week reportedly suggests that there has been little in the U.S. data of late to alter the bias toward a December Fed rate hike. The BoJ is seen targeting lowering 3-5 year rates and reshaping the QQN purchase plan to afford more flexibility in asset purchases, while likely holding off on another rate cut. Meanwhile, equities are renewing gains and yields are rolling lower as some recent volatility in the asset markets cools off.

Main Macro Events Today        

  • BOE Rate Announcement – The BoE meets on policy for the third time since the vote to leave the EU in late June. Our view matches the strong consensus for a no-change announcement, which would leave the repo rate at 0.25%, adjacent to continuing QE operations that were detailed as part of August’s big policy announcement. Market participants will be eager for details of a reduction in the corporate bond buying programme that Governor Carney announced, off the cuff, during a parliamentary testimony last week.
  •  US Retail Sales – August retail sales data is out today and should reveal a flat headline with ex-autos up 0.3% on the month. This follows July data which had the headline unchanged as well and the ex-autos component down 0.3%. Apart from the risks posed by the decline in vehicle sales, we also saw continued tepid growth for chain stores and gasoline prices are seen down for August
  • SNB Rate Decision  – With the ECB on hold and reluctant to add more stimulus, which has underpinned the EUR, and with Swiss growth having surprised on the upside, the central bank is widely expected to keep policy on hold. Officials will keep the door to another rate cut open while they monitor Eurozone growth indicators, which have taken a downturn in August. However, with pension funds and insurance companies already feeling the strain from the negative interest rate environment, and ECB growth forecasts remaining largely unchanged, the SNB will want to keep its powder dry for now and continue to rely on direct intervention to keep the currency under control.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

The Economic Week Ahead for 09.12.2016

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Main Macro Events This Week

United States:  This week’s U.S. calendar includes several interesting releases that could have some bearing on the Fed’s decision on September 21. The Treasury budget deficit (Tuesday) is forecast to ease to -$98.0 bln in August from -$112.8 bln in July,. The MBA mortgage market applications survey is due (Wednesday), along with import prices seen unchanged and export prices -0.1% in August, while there may be an EIA inventory correction from huge storm-related draws last week that bolstered crude oil above $47 bbl before the boom went bust Friday. On tap next is August retail sales (Thursday), forecast to rise 0.2%  or 0.3% ex-auto, with a downward bias given weak auto sales and mixed employment. Also due is August PPI, expected to rise just 0.1% headline and 0.2% core. The Philly Fed index is set to rebound to 3.0 in September  vs 2.0, whereas the Empire State may rise to -1.0 in September vs -4.2. Initial jobless claims are projected to snap back 11k to 270k), with August industrial production to shrink 0.5% vs 0.7% and capacity use dipping to 75.5% from 75.9%. Business inventories are forecast to fall 0.1% in July  vs 0.2%. August CPI is seen rising 0.1% headline (Friday) and 0.2% core, while September Michigan sentiment (preliminary) rises to 90.5 from 89.8 in August.

Canada: Economic data is highlighted by manufacturing (Friday), which is expected to reveal a 1.0% gain in shipment values during July following the 0.8% gain in June. The August existing home sales report (Thursday) and the August Teranet/National Bank HPI (Wednesday) also feature. Senior Deputy Governor Wilkins (Wednesday) will present a lecture at the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum in London.

Europe: After the initial confidence data following the Brexit referendum looked surprisingly upbeat, the August round was disappointing and markets will be watching the German September ZEW release (Tuesday) closely. We are looking for an improvement to 3.0 from 0.5 in the previous month, which would mean the number of those optimistic about the outlook continued to rise. The rest of the week’s data calendar focuses mostly on final inflation readings for August, with the German HICP (Tuesday) expected to be confirmed at 0.3%, the Spanish (Tuesday) at -0.3%, the French (Wednesday) at 0.4% y/y and the Italian (Wednesday) at -0.3% y/y, which should leave the overall Eurozone number on Thursday unrevised from the preliminary reading at 0.2% y/y. Even core inflation at 0.8% y/y remains far below the ECB’s definition of price stability. ECB President Draghi speaks at an award ceremony on Tuesday, although the central bank head is unlikely to add much to the central message conveyed at his September policy statement.

UK: The BoE meets on policy (announcing Thursday) for the third time since the vote to leave the EU in late June. Our view matches the strong consensus for a no-change announcement, which would leave the repo rate at 0.25%, adjacent to continuing QE operations that were detailed as part of August’s policy bazooka.  Data on the calendar this week is highlighted by August inflation numbers (Tuesday), employment figures covering July and August (Wednesday), and official August retail sales (Thursday). We expect headline CPI to tick up to a cycle high of 0.7% y/y from 0.6% in July, and the core CPI reading to 1.4% form 1.3%, with the effects of post-Brexit vote weakness in sterling starting to impact. The laggard official unemployment rate for July is expected to remain unchanged at 4.9%, as is the more timely claimant count rate, at 2.2%.  Retail sales are seen dipping 0.2% m/m in August, correcting after the strong a July, when sales rose 1.4% m/m.

China: August foreign direct investment figures are tentatively due Monday, followed by August industrial production (Tuesday), which is expected to inch up to 6.1% y/y from 6.0% previously. August retail sales (Tuesday) are penciled in at 10.1% y/y from 10.2%. August fixed investment (Tuesday) is seen slowing to a 7.8% y/y clip from 8.1%.

Japan: The Q3 MoF business outlook survey (Tuesday) is expected to reveal deterioration to -13.0 from -11.1 in Q2. The all-industry index is reported as well. July revised industrial production (Wednesday) is seen unchanged at 0.0% y/y.

Australia: Reserve Bank of Australia fields three speakers this week. Assistant Governor, Economics, Kent delivers a speech at the Bloomberg Breakfast Address (Tuesday). Head of Payments Policy Department, Tony Richards, speaks at the 26th Annual Credit Law Conference (Wednesday). Assistant Governor (Financial Markets) Guy Debelle takes the podium in London at the TradeTech FX Europe Conference (Wednesday). August employment (Thursday) is expected to improve 20.0k after the 26.2k rise in July. The unemployment rate is projected at 5.7% in August, identical to the 5.7% seen in July.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Macro Events & News for 09.09.2016

2016-09-09_09-24-36

FOREX News Today

European Outlook: Asian stock markets were mostly down. The Hang Seng surged after China allowed insurance companies to invest in Hong Kong’s stock markets via an exchange link with Shanghai. But Chinese CPI figures missed expectations at only 1.3%.   Japanese markets also managed slight gains, after yesterday’s dip, amid ongoing hopes that the BoJ will buy exchange-traded funds, although a stronger Yen and the North Korea nuclear test limited gains. U.S. and U.K. stock futures meanwhile are in the red and oil prices are down on the day, although the front end WTI future is still holding above USD 47 per barrel. Bund and Gilt futures headed south yesterday after Draghi not only left rates on hold, but also failed to deliver a particularly dovish press conference, which added to the raft of positive U.K. releases and dampened hopes of further central bank action in Europe, although the FTSE and Eurozone peripheral stock markets still managed to close with gains. Bund futures already managed to more slightly up from lows in after hour trade, but with markets still digesting Draghi market moves may be limited ahead of the weekend. The European calendar has trade data from Germany (see below) and the U.K., which is unlikely to change the overall outlook much. The U.K. also has Construction output and the BoE inflation expectations survey. Eurozone finance ministers meet in Bratislava with Greece high on the agenda.

German trade surplus narrows as exports slip. Germany posted a sa trade surplus of EUR 19.4 bln in July, down from EUR 21.4 bln in the previous month, with the decline reflecting a -2.4% m/m drop in exports that far outstripped to -0.7% m/m decline in imports. Data over the summer can be volatile, as school holidays in the states are staggered and the timing changes each year, which makes adjusting for seasonal variations difficult, as the timing of the holidays in the industrial centres can impact data. Still taken together with the dip in confidence numbers the data will add to concern that the manufacturing sector in particular is feeling the impact from the Brexit scenario and the stronger EUR.

Draghi Takes Off Dovish Hat – For Now: The ECB not only left policy on hold, but Draghi also refrained from an overtly dovish press conference. The central bank head left the door to further easing open, but it seems nothing is in the pipeline or has been discussed, aside from measures to ensure the smooth implementation of the QE program, which will have to face the question of how to get around the fact that at least in some countries the ECB will be running into supply constraints. Meanwhile the message to politicians to get their act together and implement urgently necessary growth enhancing structural reforms are getting louder. The euro has seen little follow through activity following the ECB’s announcement yesterday. The common currency was trading at modestly lower levels against the dollar in early European trade versus levels prevailing ahead of yesterday’s announcement, but firmer against the yen and the sterling.

Main Macro Events Today        

  • UK Consumer Inflation Expectations & Trade Balance –  Last time the UK Consumer inflation expectations figure was 2%, little change is expected today (no pun intended).  The UK Trade balance is expected to improve from -12.4 billion GBP to -11.4 billion GBP.
  • CAD Employment Change – No change is expected in the Unemployment Rate (6.9%) with a net increase in employment of 16,000.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Macro Events & News for 09.08.2016

2016-09-08_09-31-13

FOREX News Today

European Outlook: Asian stock markets are mostly down (Nikkei closed below 17,000 down 0.32%) The Hang Seng is managing slight gains and mainland Chinese markets are narrowly mixed as volumes remain subdued amid official pressure on government backed funds to keep volatility down and limit sell offs. In Japan markets are assessing the prospects for further easing after better than expected GDP numbers. U.S. stock futures are higher after a narrowly mixed closed yesterday and FTSE 100 futures are also moving up. European stock markets already managed gains yesterday, led by Eurozone peripherals as markets hope for further easing from Draghi following weak German data this week. Eurozone yields fell going into the meeting and Bund futures are likely to remain supported ahead of Draghi, although the event risk is yet another disappointment if the ECB focuses mainly on dovish rhetoric and doesn’t rock the boat with extensive easing measures. Oil prices are higher and the front end WTI future is trading above USD 46 per barrel. Already released, the U.K. RICS house price balance came in much higher than anticipated and French non-farm payrolls were confirmed at 0.2%. The data calendar still has German labour cost data for Q2 ahead of tomorrow’s trade numbers.

BOE Governor Carney:  The BOE action helped to reduce recession risk. The BoE governor said the U.K. recession risk has receded due to BoE actions, which clearly is a defence of the central bank’s easing package from August, but could also be seen as a sign that the additional rate cut that most MPC members still felt might be necessary back in August may not be necessary. Especially after this months round of better than expected confidence data. Still, Carney stressed that the BoE still has options for further easing if necessary, including another rate hike. Meanwhile, BoE officials sounded pretty unanimous in their rejection of Helicopter money, with Carney saying that he personally has ruled out helicopter money, Cunliffe saying it is “outside” his thinking and Vlieghe adding that such a step would not be a decision to the MPC as its a fiscal operation.  However, quote of the day was Carney being “absolutely serene” about comments made by the central bank in the build-up to the Brexit vote. Cable closed the day at 1.3436 and currently trades down at 1.3330.

US JOLTS: The report showed job openings surged 228k to 5,871k in July, a new record high, following June’s 129 rebound to 5,643k (revised up from 5,624k). The rate edged up too, to 3.9% from 3.8%. Hirings increased 55k to 5,227k after the prior 125k jump to 5,227k (revised higher from 5,131k). The hire rate was steady at 3.6%. Quitters inched up 1k to 2,980k following the 37k June rise to 2,980k (revised up from 2,909k). The rate was unchanged at 2.1% (June revised up 2.0%). Fed Chair Yellen is a fan of the JOLTS report, and in particular the quit numbers, and though this report was better than expected, it is too backward looking to have much effect on the September rate decision, especially in the face of weaker, more contemporaneous numbers.

Fedspeak: Hawkish Richmond Fed’s Lacker argues for a September hike for which the “case is strong,” he said in House testimony. He noted that the Fed needs to make up ground on interest rates. This follows like-minded remarks from hawkish dissenter George of the KC Fed earlier, who also testified and said that the US is at or near full employment. It would be a surprise if either didn’t reiterate their hawkish views.

Main Macro Events Today        

  • ECB Rate Decision and Press Conference  –  11:45 GMT & from 12:30 GMT – Not an easy meeting for the ECB, with mixed confidence indicators since the Brexit referendum, ongoing uncertainty about the future relationship between the U.K. and the EU, but also the outlook for the U.S. economy and the Fed rate path. This week’s round of disappointing German data will have been too late for the updated set of staff projections, but will only add to the arguments of the doves. At the same time, however, the ECB doesn’t have many options left if it doesn’t want to rock the boat. So for now the most likely scenario is dovish talk from Draghi and at the very best an extension of the time frame for QE maybe coupled with some minor tweaks to the QE program, including a possible removal of the deposit rate as the lower limit for purchases, which would help to address the increasing shortage of bonds, but at the same time push short term rates even lower. What is certain is that Draghi and Co will once again highlight the need for structural reforms and help from politicians in the struggle to boost Eurozone growth. Officials have been trying to limit expectations ahead of today’s meeting, but yields still fell and stocks moved higher in anticipation of further easing, so the event risk is a correction on both bond and stock markets, at least initially.
  • US Jobless Claims – 12:30 GMT – Initial Claims are expected to rise a little to 265K from 263k and Continuing claims are expected to fall to 2.153 million from 2.159 million.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Macro Events & News for 09.06.2016

2016-09-06_09-03-19

FOREX News Today

European Outlook: Asian stock markets are mostly higher, with the ASX a notable exception as the Aussie strengthened following Bank of Australia’s decision to keep rates steady. Oil prices are higher on the day and the front end WTI future climbed further above USD 45 per barrel, but gains are capped by concerns that stocks indices may be approaching overbought levels. U.S. and U.K. stock futures are also moving higher, despite the fact that U.K. BRC retail sales came in much weaker than expected with the like-for-like reading down -0.9% y/y, against expectations for another marked rise. German factory orders disappointed and previous month revised down (see below) – EURUSD overnight lows 1.1140 currently 1.1150. The Eurozone also has the detailed reading of Q2 GDP, and elsewhere Switzerland releases Q2 GDP and August inflation data.

FX Summary: The dollar and euro traded softer against most other currencies, with markets taking Friday’s payrolls report as lowering the odds for the Fed to hike rates at its FOMC meeting later this month, while data left prospects for unchanged policy with dovish guidance at the ECB’s meeting this week. USD-JPY declined by over 0.5% to the 103s and EUR-JPY fell by 0.7%. Cable popped higher on the back of a record month-to-month rebound in the UK’s August services PMI, but gains failed to sustain as such an outcome had been well flagged by the stellar rebounds already seen in last week’s construction and manufacturing PMI reports. USD-CAD extended Friday’s post-U.S. jobs losses, with the Canadian dollar rallying concomitantly with oil prices. News that Russia and Saudi Arabia had signed an agreement to set up a “working group” to think of ways to curtail crude market volatility boosted crude. (see below)

Oil Update: Oil prices sprang higher on news of a Saudi-Russia agreement, signed on the sidelines of the G20 meetings, to set up a “working group” to discuss ideas about how to minimise market volatility. WTI crude was up nearly 5% at the $46.50 intraday peak, overnight it traded to $44.75 before recovering to $45.30.  A lack of specifics about how output might be restricted apparently led to the rally fizzing out, and prices retreating. Saudi Arabia’s oil minister, Falih, said that that Iranian production has now reached pre-sanctions levels, suggesting that there is scope for Tehran to agree to a production freeze.  The global supply glut remains and there will have to be some significant compromise in Algiers if the $50 is to be recovered.

German July manufacturing orders rose 0.2%: This was less than hoped and even with June revised marginally higher to -0.3% m/m from -0.4% m/m, the annual rate remained stuck in negative territory. Still, the -0.7% y/y reading is a clear improvement from the -3.0% y/y in the previous month, although looking at the dip in the manufacturing PMI, and the sharp downward revision to the German services PMI growth projections going ahead will have to be revised again and the weaker orders data will add to the arguments of the doves at the ECB. Interestingly though, the breakdown showed a marked rebound in foreign orders inflow, which suggests Brexit and the weaker Pound are not to blame. Domestic orders meanwhile dropped -3.0%.

Main Macro Events Today        

  • US Non-Manufacturing PMI – 14:00 GMT – Forecast for a slight rise to 55.7 from 55.5. Last July’s spike to 59.6 set a new post-recession high. The ISM-adjusted figure for the ISM-NMI tends to track that of the Philly Fed. The August Philly Fed index rose to 2.0 from -2.9, but the ISM-adjusted measure fell to 47.2 from 51.3.
  •  NZD GDT Price Index – The fortnightly Global Dairy Trade Index is published and with a strong recovery last time to 12.7% sparking a rally in the NZD, today’s data will be followed closely.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

The Economic Week Ahead for 09.05.2016

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Main Macro Events This Week

August U.S. nonfarm payroll report disappointed on multiple levels after the 151k headline increase came in below last week’s 180k median, while the unemployment rate held at 4.9% versus expectations for a dip to 4.8%. Moreover, the workweek and earnings underperformed too, though the boost in the labor force was actually encouraging. Nevertheless, there was little net shake up in Fed policy expectations versus last week and December remains the odds-on favorite over September for the next move this year.

United States:  The U.S. economic calendar will be brief this week following the long Labor Day weekend, resuming (Tuesday) with ISM Non-Manufacturing, expected to hold steady at 55.5 in August. The MBA mortgage market survey and JOLTS are up next (Wednesday), though neither will be of much consequence to the September FOMC. Initial jobless claims are forecast to ease another 3k to 260k for the September 3 week (Thursday), while consumer credit is set to rise $15.0 bln iln July vs $12.3 bln in June. Wholesale trade data rounds out the meager schedule (Friday) with sales likely to rise 0.2% and inventories seen unchanged for July. Fedspeak resumes with SF Fed dove Williams (Tuesday) set to discuss the economic outlook before the Hayek Group. KC Fed hawk George and Richmond Fed hawk Lacker will testify before the House Financial Services Committee (Wednesday) from 10 ET. Boston Fed dove Rosengren will take part in a Chamber Breakfast and Economic Forecast session (Friday). Dallas Fed moderate Kaplan will also participate in a Q&A session.

Canada: The economic data calendar is busy, Wednesday to Friday, following Labor Day today . The employment report (Friday) takes top billing, with jobs expected to improve 20.0k in August after the 31.2k drop in July. The unemployment rate is projected at 7.0%, up from the 6.9% reading in July. The August Ivey PMI (Wednesday) is expected to improve to 58.0 from 57.0 in July. Capacity utilization (Thursday) is expected to fall to 80.0% in Q2 from 81.4% in Q1. Building permits (Thursday) are seen rising 2.0% in July after the 5.5% drop in June. The new home price index (Wednesday) is expected to rise 0.1% m/m in July following the 0.1% gain in June. Housing starts (Friday) are seen slowing to 195.0k in August from 198.4k in July. The BOC has a rate announcement and press conference (Wednesday) with no change to the current 0.5% expected. Deputy Governor Lane has a presentation (Thursday).

Europe: The ECB will kick off this month’s round of major central bank meetings on Thursday. For Draghi the key question is whether the mixed data releases and the still low inflation numbers justify further action or mainly mean that the ECB won’t follow the Fed in its path to a policy normalisation. The data calendar has German manufacturing orders, which will be watched carefully after the marked drop in German manufacturing sentiment. The production number meanwhile is still likely to be impacted by the decline in orders seen in the proceeding months. EMU Services PMI, (Monday) is likely to be confirmed at a still robust 53.1. Tuesday, sees the final reading of Q2 GDP for the Eurozone, with the overall quarterly growth rate expected to be confirmed at 0.3%.

UK: There are several things to note about the UK. The first is that the economy has and is rebounding from the disruptive influences of the initial shock of the Brexit vote in late June, driven by the consumer sector and sharpened competitiveness from the 12%-plus decline in sterling. But the country is in a post-Brexit vote and pre-exit negotiations limbo, which is impeding business planning and investment. PM May last week repeated her “Brexit means Brexit,” which suggests the UK is destined for a “hard” EU exit, but yesterday she said queried the points-based migration plan so favoured by many Brexit voters and many in her own cabinet.

Services PMI (Monday) the August survey is expected to show a headline of 50.0 after July’s dive to 47.4. Production data for July is also up this week (Wednesday), which we expect will reveal declines of 0.1% and 0.3% in the respective industrial and manufacturing output readings. The August RICS house price index and July trade data are also up (Thursday and Friday, respectively). Last week’s August manufacturing PMI report portended a narrowing in the deficit, with manufacturers having reported increased export orders.

China: The August services PMI (Today) rose to 52.1 (a little above expectations) from 51.7, while the August trade surplus (Thursday) should narrow to $47.0 bln from $52.3 bln in July. August CPI and PPI (Friday) are penciled in at 1.8% y/y, unchanged from July, and -1.0% from -1.7%, respectively.

Japan: August services PMI (Today) fell to 49.6 from 50.4 in July.  Thursday there is the second look at Q2 GDP, which we expect will be unchanged at up 0.2% q/q.  The July current account surplus (Thursday) is seen widening to JPY 1,900.0 bln from 974.4 bln previously. August bank loan data are also set for a Thursday release. The July tertiary index (Friday) should rise 0.5% m/m as compared to June’s 0.8% increase. BoJ Governor Kuroda spoke at the at the G20 earlier today and was rather negative on the prospects of further monetary policy easing.

Australia: Reserve Bank of Australia (Tuesday) is expected to hold rates steady at 1.50% after the widely expected 25 basis point cut that was delivered in August. Q2 GDP (Wednesday) is expected to moderate to an 0.4% growth rate (q/q, sa) after the 1.1% gain in Q2. The trade report (Thursday) is projected to reveal a -A3.0 bln  deficit in July after the -A$3.2 bln shortfall in June. The current account deficit (Tuesday) is seen at -A$22.0 in Q2 after Q1’s -A$20.0 bln in red ink. Housing finance (Friday) is expected to fall 1.0% m/m in July after the 1.2% gain in June. The Melbourne Institute Experimental Inflation Gauge (Today) rose to 1.2% from 1.0% and and ANZ job ads (Today) also rose to 1.8% from -0.8% previously. RBA Deputy Governor Lowe gives welcome and introductory remarks at an international conference in Sydney (Thursday).

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.