Crude Oil Rolling Over

February 5, 2016 Forex Analysis

Crude Oil, 240 min

According to Bloomberg the US oil reserves are at highest levels since 1930’s. This has turned the price bearish once again with a rally to levels above $32 being rejected by the traders and the price of crude oil now rolling over. Crude is now resting at 38.2% Fibonacci level after it created a 4h shooting star. This is bearish and suggests that oil will move lower towards to Target Area 1 at $29.34 – $29.95 (Target 2 is at 27.70 – 28.30 area).

I’d like to see the price rallying higher into my sell area ($33.10 – $33.60) before initiating short trades but the drop could also happen pretty quickly if the current Fibonacci support is broken. Then obviously the drop should be traded accordingly. Those that have attended my latest Live Analysis Webinar know how to do it.

Currently the Stochastic Oscillator is pretty well in the oversold area and indicates of a possibility of price bouncing higher before it’s ready to move lower. Should the price rally into the sell area, look for sell signals as per my teachings in the webinars.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

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About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmuta Janne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.

“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

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EURGBP near a sell area

February 4, 2016 Forex Analysis

EURGBP, 240 min

EURGBP hit my downside target yesterday at 0.7533, right before EUR started rallying and took EURGBP higher and all the way up to the current levels. It took time for the market to move into my target 1 and therefore provided multiple opportunities to engage the short side and benefit from recommendation in the pair.

At the time of writing the pair after getting overbought both in terms of 4h Stochastics and Bollinger Bands is now reacting lower. The upper daily Bollinger bands are now near and market participants have started taking their profits off the table as Carney speaks and thus made the pair vulnerable for corrections. I look to sell rallies in the sell area with a view of buying back lower at the buy area just above 0.76. Should price action confirm the idea, the current levels could work for short entries with a view of taking a mean reversion trade to my buy area at 0.7601-0.7616. The buy area could then work as long entry area with a target near the most recent highs. As per usual, these potential trading setups are subject to price action confirming the ideas. In order to fully understand how to utilize analysis on this page it is recommended that you attend our live educational webinars.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

EURUSD Analysis, 1.12 in Sight after Break Out of Multi Week Range

February 4, 2016 Forex Analysis

EURUSD Update, 1.12 in Sight after Break Out of Multi Week Range

EURUSD, Daily

The EURUSD finally broke out of its multi week trading range and jumped +200 pips to close above 1.1100 for the first time since August 2015. The EURUSD market has been looking for an excuse to annoy Mario Draghi at the ECB and take the EUR higher and yesterday’s sluggish U.S. economic data was the kind of catalyst that the market has been looking for.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

EURAUD Analysis, Improving Eurozone Data Could Support EUR in the Short Term

February 3, 2016 Forex Analysis

EURAUD update, Improving Eurozone Data Could Support EUR in the Short Term

EURAUD, Daily

Eurozone unemployment shows modest signs of improvement and other Eurozone data may also start to print a better outlook for the Eurozone economy over the short term that may add to support the EUR longs. However, markets are on edge that over the medium term further ECB easing still remains a possibility, and that could keep a lid on the EUR.

The Reserve Bank of Australia left rates unchanged, while the monetary policy remains dovish, adding to the short term weakness on the AUD.

Technically, the EURAUD pair remains within the upward bull channel printing higher highs and higher lows since the December low (1.4353). Momentum analysis seems to be turning upward and current price is above its 10 and 50 SMA’s. I remain with the conclusion that as long as price can hold above the 1.5090 – 1.5180 support zone, long positions can be supported for targets in the 1.5610 – 1.5790 zones.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

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About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Increased volatility in JPY pairs helps traders!

January 30, 2016 Forex Analysis

USDJPY, Daily

JPY has plummeted today after the Bank of Japan announced that it included negative interest rates in its policy arsenal. Until as lately as last Thursday the BoJ governor Kuroda emphasised that the bank not consider negative rates. But now that the ECB is promising more QE in March governor Kuroda is taking a leaf of out of Swiss National Bank’s book and introduces negative rates to prevent safe haven flows into Japanese currency.

This created a huge up move in USDJPY and EURJPY among the others. Such a volatility means that traders who know what they are doing will make vast amounts of money with a higher certainty and relatively fast. When market has momentum trading gets easier, but you have to know what to look for. In next Tuesday’s Live Analysis Webinar I will teach you techniques that will help you to identify these opportunities and make money instead of sitting in the sidelines while others (those that are in the know) enjoy the action!

The above chart shows a beautiful up move that everyone would love to catch. Our Senior Currency Strategist John Knobel identified a bullish setup a few days ago and helped our traders to be long USDJPY before Kuroda annouced the surprise news. However, if you missed John’s trade idea, you surely want to have tools for engaging the market after the news comes out!

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

GBPJPY, Rising 5 Wave Sequence?

January 30, 2016 Forex Analysis

GBPJPY, 4 Hour

Within the GBPJPY 4 hour chart I am spotting the potential development of a basic Elliott Wave 5 wave sequence. See (1), (3) and the possible (5?) impulse waves, with the corrective waves being (2) and the possible (4?).

My strategy for this trade consists of two trades broken down in two parts. Trade 1 of part 1 is to short the pair till price is within my “Go Long Zone” (see above chart) 1^st target , at that point I will reverse my short trade into a long position (trade 2 of part 2) for a 2^nd target within the “Target Zone “ as indicated in the above chart.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

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About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

USDCAD Expected Price Bounce

January 29, 2016 Forex Analysis

USDCAD, Daily

The CAD has been gaining strength in recent days as crude oil prices move higher following speculation that oil producers will reduce supplies. Also, providing some support for the CAD is the fact that the BoC left rates unchanged when the markets were forecasting a cut by 25 basis points. CAD traders for today should keep an eye on today’s Canadian economic calendar since on tap are the November GDP and Dec Product price Index. Also, keep an eye out for the U.S. Advance GDP q/q data released later today; this could also impact the USDCAD volatility for Friday.

Technically, for the USDCAD I am expecting a price bounce in the wake of the corrective sell off since the pair hit a multiyear high near the 1.4680’s last week. USDCAD traders may look to enter into long positions within the “Price bounce zone” ((B1) above chart) between 1.3815 – 1.3970, for targets within the “Lower top zone” ((T2?) above chart) 1.4340 – 1.4430.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

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About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

USDJPY Analysis for 01.28.2016

January 28, 2016 Forex Analysis

USDJPY, Daily

The outflow of funds from China and into safe haven currencies like the JPY has helped to strengthen the Japanese Yen in recent weeks. However, JPY traders may now be beginning to shift attention to market speculation that the Bank of Japan may be potentially seeking further stimulus measures that may add some weakness to the JPY.

Technically, a fibonacci retracement (December High 123.55 – January 20th low 115.90) trade could be in play for projected targets at 119.70 and 120.70. My strategy for short term traders is as long as price can stay above the 118.00 support line to hold long positions for the above fibonacci retracement targets 119.70 (Target 1) and 120.70 (Target 2).

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

EURAUD Analysis

January 22, 2016 Forex Analysis

EURAUD, Daily

Given Mario Draghi’s dovish remarks during yesterday’s press conference about a review of monetary policy, weakness in the EUR has prevailed against higher yielding currencies. The AUD , as a higher yielding currency, should do well against the EUR over the long term. However, there is a risk that the EUR could bounce back in the short term if the current global risk sentiment spikes higher again.

Current price remains within the upward sloping channel line , so I will look for prices to return towards the lower end of the channel before entering any new long positions.

My strategy for the EURAUD pair in the short term is to play the short position for a 1.5180 target ( Target 1) , as trade 1 , ahead of potential support from buyers for a re-entry , trade 2, as a buy order around 1.5090 for a 1.5610 (Target 2).

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

NZDUSD Analysis, Is Global Risk Appetite Driving Kiwi?

January 22, 2016 Forex Analysis

NZDUSD Update, Is Global Risk Appetite Driving Kiwi?

NZDUSD, Daily

The latest global market theme driving markets is the “risk on – risk off” play. Although I do not like the term “risk on–risk off”, one will find it hard to disagree with the current market “theme”. The recent “risk on–risk off theme” has so far played out well for traders who are playing NZDUSD. As risk appetite swings day-to-day from “on/off”, those NZDUSD traders who are plugged into the current theme are swinging with the NZDUSD from going short (risk on day’s) to going long (risk off day’s) depending on which risk appetite mode the market is in.

My strategy for the NZDUSD, since a double top is spotted from the October and December highs, and that for the short term I believe that the “risk on theme” will prevail before markets start to normalize, leads me with the view to Short the NZDUSD if prices stay below 0.6600 for a target at 0.6260.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”