EURUSD, 240 min
German HICP was confirmed at -0.2% y/y in final February data, as expected and down from +0.4% y/y in January. The data hasn’t and won’t have market impact, although endorsing the ECB’s anti-deflationary bazooka of stimulus measures yesterday. Oil prices, which reached a 12-year low in January, have been driving inflation down.
EURUSD rallied too far too fast and became overbought. Now this extreme condition has been unwinding and the pair looks like a sell. In my view a more ideal level to short this market would be my Sell Area between 1.1148 and 1.1185 but the price action seems to indicate that the pair could turn lower from levels near 1.1040. This level is a more aggressive entry option while those preferring to wait for a more conservative entry might prefer to wait for a further move into the Sell Area. In either case we consider short trades only if price action confirms the trade idea. Target: at 1.1050-1.1075.
Janne Muta
Chief Market Analyst
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About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst
Janne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.
Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.
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