UK Labour Data Positive – Sterling Lower

2016-05-18_12-08-46

GBPUSD, H1      

UK labour data showed an unexpected rise in pay, Average household income (excluding bonuses) lifting to a +2.0% y/y rate in the three months to March, up from 1.8% at the last measure. The bonus-included figure remained unchanged at +2.1% y/y. Unemployment for March remained unchanged at the cycle low of 5.1%, while the April claimant count dipped by 2.4k and the claimant rate remained unchanged at 2.1%. The pound very briefly rallied on the data in a knee-jerk reaction to the BoE-watched pay headline, but quickly turned lower.  GBPUSD currently trading at day lows of 1.4410, with the One Hour chart  having broken below some key moving averages and outside the lower Bollinger band.

The Brexit issue continues to dominate the horizon for sterling markets. The latest FT poll of polls has the Remain group on 46% the Leave campaign on 44% and the undecided down to 10%. A little over five weeks to referendum day and the polls continue to be erratic, no wonder GBP keeps finding sellers.

Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

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About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


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