Free Forex Analysis for 08.10.2015

Free Forex Signals for 08.10.2015

Today’s Currency Movers

EURUSD, Daily

EURUSD price continues to recover from oversold market conditions as the USD traded lower on Friday, even though the jobs report largely met expectations. The odds for a U.S. Fed September rate hike seem more likely with the non-farm payroll report pointing to strong U.S. job growth. The EUR barely changed in early Monday trade against the dollar but is up against most other currencies. The European calendar is pretty quiet today, with French business confidence from the Bank of France and Sentix Investor Confidence for the Eurozone. Technically, the EURUSD is holding a multi-week succession of lower tops and bottoms. We could see a third attempt for an upward attack on the 1.1120’s as a price bounce off the 1.0850’s, ahead of the resumption of the multi-week price decline from the June 18 high of 1.1436; this is before we see prices grind lower towards my medium term price target area near the 1.0750’s.

German data weakens, with industrial production unexpectedly dipping 1.4% m/m in June data (the median forecast had been for a 0.9% rise). The unexpected sharp contraction in German June production will cast a shadow over Q2 GDP estimates. However, the EUR seems to be ignoring this as EUR buyers are emerging on short term oversold conditions. Early-week markets in Asia are consolidating after Friday’s U.S. jobs report market volatility. Speculation that Beijing will speed up mergers of state owned companies helped support shares, while Japan’s Nikkei was driven by earnings reports, and the Australian market was supported by a strong rebound in bank shares.

Friday’s headline U.S. report printed a 215k July payroll rise with a 0.2% hourly earnings gain that exactly matched estimates, but tiny gains of 101k for civilian jobs and 69k for the labor force after June declines were a disappointment. There was a drop in the jobless rate to a 5.26% cycle-low from 5.28%, though the labor force participation rate remained at a 38-year low of 62.6%. The FOMC is on the verge of its first rate hike since June 2006. However, a tightening is still not guaranteed and there remain some risks that could keep the Fed sidelined.

AUG 10 TB 5day 2015-08-10 10:15:57

Currency Pairs, Grouped Performance (% change)

The new Currency Movers Charts show the percentage change from current 5-day percentage change of currencies against the other major currencies.

The AUD is trading higher as the RBA talks about a stronger economy and short sellers get squeezed. Demand for Australian commodities also seems to be improving.

The GBP is trading lower after “Super Thursday” turned out to be a disappointment and the BoE may postpone a rate hike.

Significant daily support and resistance levels for these pairs are:

AUG 10 CM  2015-08-10 10:33:50

Main Macro Events Today

EUR Sentix Investor Confidence: The forecast is for a 20.2 reading up from the previous 18.5, a higher reading will highlight investors confidence in Europe’s economic recovery.

USD FOMC Member Lockhart Speaks: Due to speak at the Atlanta Press Club and will be taking questions from the audience.

AUG 10 EC 2015-08-10 09:17:31

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our TopForex Brokers official website:http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Free Forex Analysis for 08.07.2015

Free Forex Signals for 08.07.2015

Today’s Currency Movers

EURUSD, Daily

EURUSD price continues to contract and trade within a narrow three day range ahead of today’s U.S. Nonfarm payrolls economic data release. The Bollinger band EURUSD trend analysis on the daily chart indicates that volatility is narrowing, which is typical before the release of a major economic report. Price over the last three trading sessions has stayed below the 20 period simple moving average, however, a bullish cross is observed within the Stochastic Momentum Oscillator indicator. The fact that price remains well contained within the multi-week downward moving channel and the bullish cross observation that has accrued below the Stochastic 20 level indicates oversold market conditions in the short term.

The Bank of England’s first “Super Thursday” sent Sterling down sharply; the BoE left monetary policy unchanged. The BoE is slowly preparing for the first rate hike, however, they are in no rush to move. The GBPUSD closed sharply lower for the day down around 170 pips from the day’s high in the wake of the day’s heavy GBP economic calendar.

The USD backed off during N.Y. trade on Thursday after decent weekly jobless claims gave the USD some early support. Real U.S. GDP grew 2.3 percent in the second quarter, according to the advance estimate from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Asian stock markets were mixed in overnight trade, with China and Japan up. The Bank of Japan left policy unchanged, as widely expected.

AUG 7 TB 2015-08-07 11:04:45

Currency Pairs, Grouped Performance (% change)

The new Currency Movers Charts show the percentage change from previous day’s close to the current moment against the other major currencies.

The GBP is trading lower against the majors after the BoE highlighted that it’s in no rush to raise rates. The AUD is trading higher as the BoA remains upbeat about the domestic economy, and demand for Australian commodities seems to be improving.

Significant daily support and resistance levels for these pairs are:

AUG 7 CM 2015-08-07 11:19:36

Main Macro Events Today

USD Nonfarm Payrolls: July nonfarm payrolls are expected to increase by 215k, with a 205k private payroll gain. The market risk if payrolls are downward, could impact the timing of rate hikes. If upward, should provide some tail wind.

USD Unemployment Rate: The unemployment rate is expected to hold steady at 5.3% from June.
The workweek is expected to hold at 34.5 for a fifth month.

CAD Net Change in Employment: Employment is expected to rise 10.0k in July after the 6.4k drop in June.

 

Aug 7 EC  2015-08-07 10:39:56

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our TopForex Brokers official website:http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Free Forex Analysis for 08.06.2015

Free Forex Signals for 08.06.2015

Today’s Currency Movers

EURUSD, Daily

EURUSD has a short term support level near the 1.0850’s and resistance levels around 1.0990’s – 1.1020’s. The short term trend is now negative, and trading in line with the ECB’s dovish position to increase the supply of EURs on the market. Short term EURUSD traders may look to re-sell into strength if prices extend past the 1.0990’s – 1.1020’s resistance levels, ideally between the 1.10’s – 1.1050’s for a 1.0750’s price target.

Further negativity on the EUR comes from the much weaker than expected Eurozone retail sales, which fell 0.6% m/m, keeping the euro under pressure, offsetting an upward revision in final Eurozone services and composite PMI survey data for July. The fact that both the U.S. and the U.K. are seeking to raise their rates is giving traders enough reasons to support both the US dollar and the British pound, adding to EUR selling pressures.

On Wednesday, the U.S. ADP employment report missed expectations; however, the July services ISM posted a 10-year high. The EURUSD rallied to session highs around 1.0930 after the employment data, and then fell to session lows near 1.0850 following the ISM outcome.

AUG 6 TB 2015-08-06 10:57:03

Currency Pairs, Grouped Performance (% change)

The new Currency Movers Charts show the percentage change from previous day’s close to the current moment against the other major currencies.

The AUD is trading lower against the majors as commodity prices have been weakening. CFTC data also reports that net speculative short positions have increased for the AUD. The USD, EUR, GBP and JPY are all trading mixed as traders await GBP data.

Significant daily support and resistance levels for these pairs are:

CM aug 6  2015-08-06 11:13:29

Main Macro Events Today

GBP BoE Interest Rate Decision: The central bank is widely expected to leave the repo rate at 25 bp. Today is the inaugural BoE “Super Thursdays”‘, which will include the instant-release of the MPC minutes and the latest Quarterly Inflation Report. Governor Carney will also lead a one-hour press conference. The minutes will likely reveal a hawkish shift at the BoE, with MPC members Weale and McCafferty seen resuming their vote in favour of a 25 bp rate hike (having voted for this between August and December last year), though still be outvoted by 7 to 2. Carney will likely maintain that the next move will be a hike, but still present a relatively balanced view in line with market expectations for tightening to start in February next year. The BoE is also likely to trim near-term inflation forecasts given sterling’s trade-weighted strength, the recent decline in oil prices, and signs that productivity is improving, though at the same time is likely to flag upside risk further down the track.

AUG 6 EC 2015-08-06 10:06:40

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our TopForex Brokers official website:http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Free Forex Analysis for 08.05.2015

Free Forex Signals for 08.05.2015

Today’s Currency Movers

EURUSD, Daily

EURUSD, closed sharply lower on Tuesday in the wake of fresh comments from the U.S. Fed’s Lockhart who suggested that “upcoming U.S. economic data would have to disappoint significantly to get the FOMC to delay a tightening in September.” The market reacted to the hawkish comments with the fresh buying of U.S. dollars, accelerating the downward pressure on the EURUSD pair. Now that the EURUSD has broken through the support turned resistance area of the 1.0920’s, and the fact that price has failed to hold a new higher low above the 1.1120.s, as well as, bearish momentum oscillator analysis, this leads me to hold firm my view that EURUSD prices will continue to trade firmly lower within the multi-week downward price channel towards my target area near the 1.0750’s over the coming days.

As the interest rate spread between the USD and the GBP against the EUR widens, and the expectation that the U.S. and the U.K will begin to raise rates, further supports the buying interest in the U.S. dollar and the British pound in the near term. Traders should also take note of the recent hawkish comments from the BoE and the Fed board members who have been dropping clues of pending rate hikes.

The AUD made a large move on Tuesday following better than expected trade and retail sales data, and then a change in language in the RBA statement following the anticipated decision to leave the cast rate at 2.0%. The Board said in its statement that “the Australian dollar is adjusting to the significant declines in key commodity prices.” The AUDUSD rallied nearly 165 pips on the statement.

TB AUG 5  2015-08-05 11:31:46

Currency Pairs, Grouped Performance (% change)

The new Currency Movers Charts show the percentage change from previous day’s close to the current moment against the other major currencies.

The GBP is trading higher against the majors as the latest PMI data continued to show solid growth. The AUD is retracing lower after yesterday’s strong advance.

Significant daily support and resistance levels for these pairs are:

CM AUG 5 2015-08-05 11:49:30

Main Macro Events Today

• EUR Services PMI: The services reading was revised to 53.9 from 53.8 and the composite to 53.9 from 53.7. Overall, the Eurozone economy is so far showing resilience and data is consistent with the ECB’s assessment that economic activity continues to broaden.

• USD ISM Non-Manufacturing: July service sector producer sentiment is out on later today and should reveal a 56.0 (median 56.2) headline for the month, steady from June. Other measures of producer sentiment for the month have been mixed but should allow the ISM-adjusted average for July to maintain the increase to 53 that we saw in June.

 

EC AUG 5  2015-08-05 11:19:02

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our TopForex Brokers official website:http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Free Forex Analysis for 08.04.2015

Free Forex Signals for 08.04.2015

Today’s Currency Movers

EURUSD, Daily

EURUSD, continues to trade within a multi-week downtrend; this is confirmed by the fact of lower tops and bottoms on price. The failed attack on the 31st of July to break above the 1.1120’s also supports the view that the bears are in control of the medium term EURUSD market. However, for the moment, price seems to be consolidating between a tight range within the 1.0920’s and 1.0970’s with traders seeking direction from the U.S. NFP release, due out on Friday. Technically, I would like to see price hold above the 1.0810’s – 1.0920’s after the upcoming NFP release for a potential short term price recovery to re-visit the 1.1220’s, before resuming the multi-week downtrend to reach my target price near the 1.0750’s.

The EU Outlook was revised down to negative from stable by S&P. The ratings agency is worried about the EU’s continual use of the balance sheet to provide higher risk financing to members without the members paying in capital.

The U.S. Market ISM manufacturing index inched up to 53.8 in July, from a 20-month low of 53.8 in June. This is the first pick up in manufacturing activity since March, but is the slowest pace of purchasing activity in 18 months. U.S. personal income rose 0.4% in June with spending up 0.2%, a little better than forecast; however, May’s 0.5% income gain was revised down to 0.4%.

TB AUG 4  2015-08-04 11:27:45

Currency Pairs, Grouped Performance (% change)

The new Currency Movers Charts show the percentage change from previous day’s close to the current moment against the other major currencies.

The AUD is trading firmer against the majors on the back of a RBA statement that droped the call for more depreciation.

Significant daily support and resistance levels for these pairs are:

CP AUG 4V2 2015-08-04 12:04:37

Main Macro Events Today

GBP PMI Construction: Unexpectedly declined to 57.1 in July from June’s 58.1. The median forecast had been for an improvement to 58.5. At 57.1, the survey still points to continuing robust expansion in the sector, while incoming mortgage and house price data suggest that underlying conditions remain solid.

USD Factory Orders: The forecast calls for a 0.8% increase from the previous -1.0%.

EC AUG 4 V2 2015-08-04 12:10:33

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our TopForex Brokers official website:http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Free Forex Analysis for 08.03.2015

Free Forex Signals for 08.03.2015

Today’s Currency Movers

EURUSD, Daily

EURUSD, continues to seek support from buyers as price remains above the downward channel line. The EUR found support around the 1.0920’s, as the USD dropped on Friday following weaker than expected U.S. Q2 ECI data. In my July 29th analysis, I reported that EURUSD price “may return towards the 1.0970’s, before flipping to the long side for a re-test of the 1.1120’s.” The fact that recent price action has exceeded the 1.0970’s to test and establish a higher low at 1.0920 from the July 20th low of 1.0808, opens up a renewed recovery towards the July 27th 1.1120’s resistance area. Price may now attempt to extend the recovery to the 1.1220’s before resumption of the multi-week decline.

Friday saw better EU inflation data as inflation remained stable at 0.2%, although, it was weaker than U.S. employment data, which sent the EURUSD sharply lower. The move was seen by the market as overdone and the EURUSD quickly made it back to test the 1.10’s.

The U.S. Fed funds median still shows a 25 bp rate hike in September, Key reports are on tap this week, including payrolls, PMIs, income, and spending.

TB AUG 3 2015-08-03 11:00:09

Currency Pairs, Grouped Performance (% change)

The Currency Movers Charts show the percentage change from previous five day close to the current moment against the other major currencies.

The GBP is trading firmer against the majors on the back of accelerating UK GDP data.

The CAD trades lower against most pairs, as Canada missed GDP expectations.

Significant daily support and resistance levels for these pairs are:

CM AUG 3 V2 2015-08-03 11:23:17

Main Macro Events Today

UK Manufacturing PMI: There is downside risk after last week’s July CBI industrial trends survey unexpectedly declined to a -10 in the realized sales reading, which was the weakest since July 2013, reflecting the UK manufacturing sector’s sensitivity to the prevailing trade-weighted strength of the pound.

USD Manufacturing PMI: July ISM will be released today and it’s expected that the headline to remain steady at 53.5 (median 53.8) for a second month.

EC Aug 3  2015-08-03 10:49:07

 

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our TopForex Brokers official website:http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Free Forex Analysis for 07.29.2015

Free Forex Signals for 07.29.2015

Today’s Currency Movers

EURUSD, Daily

EURUSD, Since the recent advance through the upper daily chart channel line was penetrated, and the fact that price remains within a 12 month decline, a further corrective bounce for medium term traders towards the 1.1220’s should not be ruled out. We will likely witness a potential breakdown back towards the 1.0870’s, ahead of my longer term price projection near the 1.0750’s. Swing traders with a short term view may look for price to return towards the 1.0970’s before flipping to the long side for a retest of the 1.1120’s.

The EUR has been trading off of the back of positive data this week, as German business and consumer confidence data came in firmer than expected; earlier today the German July Gfk held unchanged from June at 10.1. The consensus had been for a slight dip, to 10.0. High employment and expectations for higher pay underpinned the report. The EURUSD price advanced from Monday’s solid German Ifo results may consolidate ahead of today’s U.S. FOMC Statement.

Traders are waiting on the FOMC in the U.S., which concludes its two-day meeting today. No surprises are likely, and while the overall tone is expected to be more upbeat than the previous FOMC in June, the Fed is not likely to commit to a September rate lift-off. This is due to key data releases, concerns about China’s financial markets and Greece, and given recent oil price declines.

 

29 TB V2 2015-07-29 11:36:19

Currency Pairs, Grouped Performance (% change)

The new Currency Movers Charts show the percentage change from previous day’s close to the current moment against the other major currencies.

The GBP is trading firmer against the AUD, CAD and the NZD after better than forecast GBP Net Lending to Individuals’ data were released today.

The AUD and the CAD trade lower against most pairs, as commodity prices continue to seek a bottom.

Significant daily support and resistance levels for these pairs are:

29 CM  2015-07-29 12:13:26

Main Macro Events Today

• EUR Gfk German Consumer Climate : The July Gfk consumer confidence came in firmer than expected, holding unchanged from June at 10.1,though concerns about Greece’s potential impact on the German economy remained a negative, according to Gfk.

• USD FOMC Statement: No surprises are likely, and while the overall tone is likely to be more upbeat than the previous FOMC in June, it’s widely anticipated that the FOMC will be moderately net bullish for the dollar.

29 EC 2015-07-29 10:26:28

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our TopForex Brokers official website:http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Free Forex Analysis for 07.28.2015

Free Forex Signals for 07.28.2015

Today’s Currency Movers

EURUSD, Daily

EURUSD price, after breaking out of the six week downward sloping price channel, looks set to continue to bounce off of May’s low at 1.0820. Price action during Monday’s trading sessions was supported by the German Ifo report; the market viewed the results as strong enough to allow the pair to confirm a new short term resistance level at 1.1129. Technically, I now seek a return move towards the previous day’s low near the 1.0970’s, before we see a retest of the 1.1120’s.

The euro outperformed as more Grexit risk premium was unwound. Further, the July German Ifo survey beat expectations and boosted EUR longs. Market participants, as it seems, are adjusting expectations on the performance of the Chinese economy as the Chinese stock market closed down 8.5% on Monday. It is yet to remain seen, if the Chinese slowdown is a domestic issue or if it will spread into the global economy.

The dollar shrugged off the better durables report, which was beefed up by Boeing orders. The U.S. Dallas Fed’s manufacturing index improved to -4.6 in July versus -7.0 in June. It’s been in negative territory for 7 straight months given the region’s exposure to the oil recession.

TB 28 2015-07-28 10:34:22

Currency Pairs, Grouped Performance (% change)

The new Currency Movers Charts show the percentage change from previous day’s close to the current moment against the other major currencies.

The GBP is trading firmer against the EUR and the JPY ahead of the GBP GDP data.

The JPY trades lower against most pairs, as the USDJPY recovered most of the losses from yesterday’s decline.

Significant daily support and resistance levels for these pairs are:

28 CM 2015-07-28 11:15:08

Main Macro Events Today

• GBP Prelim GDP: Preliminary Q2 GDP data is expecting a 0.7% q/q rise, up from 0.6% in Q1, With robust growth the BoE can afford to lay the ground for rate hikes ahead and a recent Bloomberg poll suggests that most economists expect the first MPC members to start voting for a hike next month.

• USD CB Consumer Confidence: The July consumer confidence is out later today and should reveal a decline to 100.0 (median 100.0) from 101.4 in June. This would come along side a decline in Michigan Sentiment to 93.3 in the first July release from 96.1 in June. The IBD/TIPP poll for the month managed to hold steady at 48.1 for a second month.

28 EC 2015-07-28 10:26:01

 

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our TopForex Brokers official website:http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Free Forex Analysis for 07.27.2015

Free Forex Signals for 07.27.2015

Today’s Currency Movers

EURUSD, Daily

EURUSD price, at the time of writing, price has penetrated the higher channel line within the above daily chart to clear the higher end of the 1.1080’s resistance levels. When a market has a breakout, we look for it to make an initial move beyond nearby support and resistance. Those traders that have been following my daily analysis of the EURUSD, would not be surprised by the recent surge in price, as I have been writing about the possibility of the pair printing out a new lower top below the 1.1220’s within the above chart downward price channel. I now remain on the watch for a breach above the 1.1210’s – 1.1220’s area for clues of a daily chart trend reversal, otherwise I would expect for price to halt its three month corrective bounce and resume its move lower towards a retest of the 1.0870’s with the possibility of reaching my 1.0750’s target area.

The EUR received a boost in early European market trading as the German July Ifo Business Climate unexpectedly bounced back with the overall reading rising to 108.0 from 107.5 in the previous month. The expectations reading rose for the first time since March and it seems the Greek bailout deal has boosted future optimism. The retail trade index meanwhile fell back slightly, as did the construction index. All in all, a positive number, which together with the effective stabilization in German ZEW and PMI readings confirms that the German economy remains on track.

Traders should expect further EURUSD price action later today as the U.S. June Durable Goods Orders are due. June durable goods orders are expected to grow by 2.0%., Shipments and Inventories are expected to remain unchanged.

CM 27 2015-07-27 12:06:06

Currency Pairs, Grouped Performance (% change)

The new Currency Movers Charts show the percentage change from previous day’s close to the current moment against the other major currencies.

Over the last five trading day’s the EUR is trading higher across the board.  The AUD remains weaker across the board against most pairs, while the JPY is stronger against the AUD.

Significant daily support and resistance levels for these pairs are:

CP 27 2015-07-27 12:25:12

Main Macro Events Today

• EUR Eurozone M3 money supply: growth steady at 5.0%, against expectations for a marginal acceleration in the annual number. The three months moving average, the ECB’s preferred target, moved up to 5.1%, clearly above the reference value of 4.5%, although with the ECB focused on loan growth and headline inflation, M3 data has effectively been degraded in its importance for monetary policy decision.

• U.S. Core Durable Goods Orders: Forecast risk: upward, as there was an increase in Boeing orders in June. Market risk: downward, as weaker data could impact rate hike timelines.

 

EC 27 2015-07-27 12:04:03

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our TopForex Brokers official website:http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

S&P 500 TRADING NEAR LEVELS THAT SHOULD ATTRACT BUYERS

S&P 500 Trading Near Levels That Should Attract Buyers

S&P 500, Weekly

At the time of writing Asian shares are on decline with Nikkei down by 1.2%, Nifty 0.97% and Hang Seng Composite down by over 3% and according to Bloomberg Shanghai Composite is down by 8% even in the government managed market. The US stock market finished Friday in the red, with S&P500 index losing 1.07%. Apart from the Fed expressing their commitment to raise interest rates market participants have been worried about valuations getting dear. S&P 500 P/E is getting close to 18 and disappointments with Caterpillar, 3M, IBM and Biogen Ideg’s earnings reports added to the worries of this market not being healthy enough to push into new highs. Additionally we had Apple publishing a record high quarterly result but the stock was hammered down by 9% the next trading day. This is not a sign of a bullish market but rather indicates that the willingness and commitment to pay higher prices and keep the uptrend intact is weak. China PMI being negative and a 6.8% drop in the US June New Home Sales report added to the negative sentiment. A look at the sectors reveals weakness in key sectors. All sectors came down last week but Industrials, Semiconductors, Basic Materials and Energy Stocks show signs of technical weakness.

S&P 500 e-mini future (ES) fell down from the resistance as expected and finished Friday’s trading inside the supportive range published in my previous reports. It is now trading near levels that should attract buyers .The price is at weekly pivot and fairly close to the lower Bollinger Bands and a 50 week SMA. Last week’s high was a lower high and suggests technical weakness in this index and price has now opened outside the up trending regression channel after wedging and then breaking out of the wedge.

ES D

S&P 500, Daily

ES reached my support range of 2073 – 2080 on Friday’s trading and the low of the day coincided with a 61.8% Fibonacci level. Stochastic oscillator is oversold and price is trading near pivotal support. As we have industrials etf XLI still is some distance away from the support levels I am expecting that ES cannot yet move higher but will either consolidate or correct further before finding serious demand. Financial sector also has space to correct lower and the same applies to Technology as well. This in fact applies to quite a few other sectors too and is likely to drag the US stocks lower before buyers emerge. Support and resistance levels in ES are at 2078 and 2116.50.

ES 240

S&P 500, 240 min

Price is trading between two intraday support levels at 2064.50 and 2078 while Stochastics is at the oversold threshold. The nearest 4h resistance level is at 2091.50 where a declining trendline coincides with the level. There was a hammer candle on Friday night but no follow through after the candle was formed. Market has been dropping for 4 days so we might get a move against this trend and a test of next resistance level. If ES can create a higher intraday low and hold above 2078 price can move higher towards the next resistance at 2091.50.

Conclusion

Long term picture in S&P 500 index has turned more bearish with the index making a lower high. The supports however are still in place and should attract buyers at levels not far from the current price action. This will probably lead to rally but due to the overall weakness in different sectors I expect that this rally will lead to another lower high and more sideways ranging before the market can become directional again.

Intraday chart shows some signs of buying in a form of a hammer in the 4h chart. This was probably short covering before the weekend and this morning the quiet market has been ranging sideways with low liquidity. After moving lower for four days it would not be a surprise to see a move higher but we need to see how traders will react once the US market opens and some serious volume comes in. Look for momentum reversal signals at support levels.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our TopForex Brokers official website:http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

About Janne Muta, HotForex’s Chief Market Analyst

jmutaJanne Muta is a seasoned industry professional with over 16 years experience in the global markets. Originally from Finland, Janne has worked for institutions in both Helsinki and London as an institutional fund manager, global market analyst and FX educator.

Traders and fund managers from around the world have benefited greatly from Janne’s technical analysis methods. The indicators and price action based trading models he has developed, have, after rigorous testing, proven to be invaluable in identifying high probability trades.


“My mission is to help you to become a confident and successful trader”

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.