EURUSD, Daily

Earlier today Eurozone M3 money supply came in unchanged at 5.0%, as expected in February data. Amid the components, private sector credit showed a 3.2% y/y increase, up from 2.6% y/y growth in the previous month. This moving in the right direction, though below where ECB policymakers would like. Money supply has long since been demoted in the metrics the ECB uses in formulating policy decisions.

Over the last week EURUSD traded lower from the weekly Bollinger Bands after it had rallied for three weeks in a row. Stochastics oscillator is near overbought levels in the weekly picture. The EURUSD pair has created higher lows and higher highs in the daily timeframe and looked like it was building upside momentum. However, the latest high is lower than February 2^nd high and suggests the pair could correct lower towards the weekly 30 and 50 period SMAs. This would bring the pair near a rising channel low and the lower daily Bollinger Bands.

I am therefore looking for buy signals between 1.0915 and 1.0990 with Target 1 at 1.1134 – 1.1220 area and Target 2 1.1288 – 1.1360. Please, remember to apply the entry and risk management principles I’m teaching in the webinars. Join me to free webinars if you want to learn more.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

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Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

EURUSD, 240 min

German HICP was confirmed at -0.2% y/y in final February data, as expected and down from +0.4% y/y in January. The data hasn’t and won’t have market impact, although endorsing the ECB’s anti-deflationary bazooka of stimulus measures yesterday. Oil prices, which reached a 12-year low in January, have been driving inflation down.

EURUSD rallied too far too fast and became overbought. Now this extreme condition has been unwinding and the pair looks like a sell. In my view a more ideal level to short this market would be my Sell Area between 1.1148 and 1.1185 but the price action seems to indicate that the pair could turn lower from levels near 1.1040. This level is a more aggressive entry option while those preferring to wait for a more conservative entry might prefer to wait for a further move into the Sell Area. In either case we consider short trades only if price action confirms the trade idea. Target: at 1.1050-1.1075.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

EURUSD, 240

EURUSD is in a correction phase after topping and rolling over just above 1.1300. Today the pair has been edging lower near the lower 4h Bollinger bands and has failed to rally above 23.6% Fibonacci level. The lower highs and lower lows suggest that this market is weak even though it is trading at lower Bollinger bands. Dollar index looks like it is trying to break higher which confirms the bearish short term view for EURUSD. The 30 period SMA is about to cross below the 50 period SMA while oscillators are moving sideways near oversold levels.

EURUSD, 60 min

Price is creating lower highs and lower lows while faster moving average (30 period) is below the slower (50 period) and point lower. However, the Stochastics oscillator indicates oversold conditions together with the price being at lower Bollinger bands.

Conclusion:

As the pair is correcting lower after hitting resistance at 1.1300 plus levels and the price is making lower highs and lower lows the indications are bearish. Industrial Production numbers are out in a few minutes and might provide some volatility that we could use to sell the market. Provided the volatility isn’t too excessive. Should the price rally inside my sell area between 1.1150 and 1.1180 and provide us with sell signals there we are looking to engage the short side with a view of covering the shorts at target areas.  Target 1: 1.1040-1.1085 and Target 2: 1.0965-1.1010.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

ECB Update

Mario Draghi does it again and successfully “talks” down the EUR during today’s ECB Press Conference. The EURUSD immediately dropped off around 100+ pips as the ECB President gave a signal that the ECB may extend QE measures in March. Draghi said in the introductory statement that the downside risks that emerged since the start of the year meaning that there is the “need to review and possibly reconsider” the policy stance in March.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

EURUSD, Daily

For the moment, EURUSD remains in the 1.08 – 1.1060 range since mid December 2015. The pair is bouncing off the 50 SMA in the wake of the mucky Chicago ISM report. I remain with the view that the underlying trend is bearish, however, over the medium term prices may be setting up a recovery towards the 1.12′s on a potential clean break of the 1.1060′s.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

EURUSD, Daily

EURUSD moves higher as German consumer confidence improves, and U.S. Q3 GDP growth falls slightly from 2.1% to 2.0%. EURUSD looks to be in recovery mode after dipping to a low near the 1.0520′s last week. The major trend still remains bearish; however there remains room for a price attempt towards a key resistance spotted around the 1.1060′s.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

EURUSD, Daily

The ECB cut the deposit rate by 10 basis points to -0.3% from -0.2%, while leaving the key refinance rate unchanged. European stock markets have sold off in the wake of Draghi’s disappointing measures since the central bank’s cut in the deposit rate was less than anticipated and the widening of QE purchases not as aggressive as the markets would anticipate.

At the time of this writing, the EUR trades above the 1.08 level, up nearly 280 pips for the session; most of the market was caught by surprise as market sentiment had been poised for a downside move. However, the week is far from over as tomorrow’s all important and widely anticipated U.S. Non-Farm payroll report could offer traders even more surprises.

Technically, the EURUSD could possibly return towards resistance area 1.1090. For the moment, traders may seek for higher prices before entering any new short positions.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

EURUSD, Daily (Updated)

EURUSD touched fresh 7-month lows of 1.0565, before rallying back over 1.0600, with pre-holiday short covering in play. The EUR, though, is still a bearish market, and with the inevitable interest differential widening becoming more apparent, the USD will continue to grind higher against the EUR over time, until we see a shift in the ECB policy. The next EURUSD downside target (S2) in at 1.0520, representing the April low. Continued downward pressure on the EUR is also supported by speculation of further ECB easing as early as next week’s ECB meeting, following a Reuters report saying central bankers are discussing two tiered charges on banks’ deposits and further bond buying.

Janne Muta

Chief Market Analyst

If you wish to get the latest forex brokers news,you can visit our Top Forex Brokers official website:

http://www.topforexbrokerscomparison.com

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.